Oscars 2021 predictions for best picture, best director, other top awards (2022)

The2021 Oscarsare here and, with films likeNomadland,Minari,Borat 2, Mank andPromising Young Womanup for statues, it will be a close race. This year's many affecting and inspiring movies are reflected in a slate of historically diverse Academy Award nominations: Nomadland directorChloé Zhaocould be the first woman of color to win the Academy Award for best director, and there's a very real chance of all four acting awards going to people of color.

As thepandemic wiped dozens of planned movies off the calendar, streaming services continued uninterrupted -- and indeed the film with the most nominations (Mank, up for 10 gongs) is a Netflix flick. Amazon Prime Video also has Borat, One Night in Miami and Sound of Metal in the running. And Apple TV Plus has landed two Oscar nominations in its first year since launching.

The93rd Academy Awardstake place Sunday, April 25. Here are my predictions for the major categories.

Best picture

Oscars 2021 predictions for best picture, best director, other top awards (1)

There are two clear trends in this year's Oscars: true stories, and the experience of marginalized people in America. Two of the films even intersect with portrayals of the same real-life figure,murdered Black Panther Fred Hampton, who's depicted in both The Trial of the Chicago 7 and Judas and the Black Messiah. But Nomadland has to be the frontrunner after winning best picture from the Golden Globes, the Baftas, the Independent Spirit Awards and a hatful of other awards.

  • The Father
  • Judas and the Black Messiah
  • Mank
  • Minari
  • Nomadland
  • Promising Young Woman
  • Sound of Metal
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7

My money's on: Nomadland

Best director

Oscars 2021 predictions for best picture, best director, other top awards (2)

More than one woman is nominated as best director for the first time in Oscar history. Chloé Zhao is the first woman of color to be nominated for the directing award, which I'm guessing would make up for the disappointment of seeing her Marvel movie Eternals delayed by the pandemic. Or The Crown star Emerald Fennell could win for her debut feature as writer and director with the scathingly timely Promising Young Woman. Another director nominated for his first film was Orson Welles with Citizen Kane, the subject of Hollywood melodrama Mank, which marks David Fincher's third Oscar nomination.

(Video) OSCARS 2021 | TOP 10 Best Picture Predictions

  • Thomas Vinterberg (Another Round)
  • David Fincher (Mank)
  • Lee Isaac Chung (Minari)
  • Chloé Zhao (Nomadland)
  • Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman)

My money's on:Chloé Zhao

Best actor in a leading role

Elder statesmen Oldman and Hopkins have an Oscar each, while Minari star Steven Yeun -- the first Asian American to be nominated for best actor -- has a ton of momentum from nominations and wins in other awards. But so has Riz Ahmed, the first Muslim to be nominated for the Academy's lead acting prize. The question is whether the Academy will be able to resist a posthumous honor for Chadwick Boseman, who died in 2020 following two career-best performances, in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom and Da 5 Bloods.

  • Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal)
  • Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)
  • Anthony Hopkins (The Father)
  • Gary Oldman (Mank)
  • Steven Yeun (Minari)

My money's on: Chadwick Boseman

Best actress in a leading role

Oscars 2021 predictions for best picture, best director, other top awards (4)

Carey Mulligan was first nominated for an Oscar in 2009 for her breakthrough role in An Education, about a schoolgirl manipulated by an older man. So it's perhaps fitting that her latest nomination is for a searing performance as a woman fighting back against sexual abuse. Meanwhile, Viola Davis and Golden Globe winnerAndra Day portray real-life Black musical icons in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom and The United States v. Billie Holiday. Vanessa Kirby and perennial Academy favorite Frances McDormand also give powerful, practically solo performances. But even the earlier awards ceremonies haven't revealed a definitive favorite, making this category too close to call.


  • Viola Davis (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)
  • Andra Day (The United States v. Billie Holiday)
  • Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman)
  • Frances McDormand (Nomadland)
  • Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)

My money's on: Frances McDormand

Best actor in a supporting role

Long-time working actor and Vietnam veteran Paul Raci is the wild card in this category, and not just because the 72-year-old is the only actor not playing a real-life figure. Leslie Odom Jr. plays singer Sam Cooke in One Night in Miami, while Daniel Kaluuya and Lakeith Stanfield may split the vote for fans of Judas and the Black Messiah. Kaluuya in particular has done well in other awards. The Academy loves a comic actor playing a straight role, which could help Borat star Sacha Baron Cohen, but his turn in The Trial of the Chicago 7 is far from the flashiest in the shortlist.

  • Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
  • Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah)
  • Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night in Miami)
  • Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)
  • Lakeith Stanfield (Judas and the Black Messiah)

My money's on: Leslie Odom Jr.

Best actress in a supporting role

Glenn Close is nominated for an eighth time, but reviews weren't kind to Netflix's rural drama Hillbilly Elegy. Olivia Colman won best actress two years ago for The Favorite and could win a second Oscar for a very different turn in harrowing drama The Father. Minari's scene-stealing Yuh-jung Youn would be one of only a handful of actors to win an Oscar for a performance without much or any English on screen (along with the likes of Sophia Loren, Robert De Niro, Roberto Benigni, Benicio del Toro and Marion Cotillard). Meanwhile, Maria Bakalova certainly deserves credit for her bravery in the Borat sequel, particularly in a notorious scene where she comes face-to-face with Rudy Giuliani.

  • Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)
  • Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy)
  • Olivia Colman (The Father)
  • Amanda Seyfried (Mank)
  • Yuh-jung Youn (Minari)

My money's on: Yuh-jung Youn

The Oscars 2021

  • Oscars 2021: How to watch the ceremony April 25
  • Oscars 2021: How to watch the best picture nominees
  • Hollywood slowly working to rectify decades of Muslim misrepresentation
(Video) 2021 Oscars Odds and Predictions / Expert picks for Best Picture, Best Actor, and More…

Best original screenplay

Aaron Sorkin's Trial of the Chicago 7 is a slick slice of history, but hardly groundbreaking from a writer known for adapting true stories. Judas and the Black Messiah covers similar historic ground with a more scathing tone that might appeal to the Academy. Anger also permeates Emerald Fennell's fiercely timely script for Promising Young Woman, which may galvanize voters or push them toward the comparatively more gentle but still emotionally potent Minari and Sound of Metal.

  • Judas and the Black Messiah (Will Berson, Shaka King; Story by Will Berson, Shaka King, Kenny Lucas, Keith Lucas)
  • Minari (Lee Isaac Chung)
  • Promising Young Woman (Emerald Fennell)
  • Sound of Metal (Darius Marder, Abraham Marder; Story by Darius Marder, Derek Cianfrance)
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Aaron Sorkin)

My money's on: Promising Young Woman

Best adapted screenplay

Borat's semi-improvised nature makes a writing nomination seem strange, but good luck to 'em. Propulsive Indian drama The White Tiger could be the wild card but it was a hit with Netflix viewers and crams in a lot more story than the comparatively intimate The Father or One Night in Miami.

  • Borat Subsequent Moviefilm (Sacha Baron Cohen, Anthony Hines, Dan Swimer, Peter Baynham, Erica Rivinoja, Dan Mazer, Jena Friedman, Lee Kern; Story by Sacha Baron Cohen, Anthony Hines, Dan Swimer, Nina Pedrad)
  • The Father (Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller)
  • Nomadland (Chloé Zhao)
  • One Night in Miami (Kemp Powers)
  • The White Tiger (Ramin Bahrani)

My money's on: Nomadland

Best animated feature film

Streaming service Apple TV Plus marks its first year with two nominations: best sound for WW2 picture Greyhound, and a possible nod for animated film Wolfwalkers. Shaun the Sheep marks another nomination for stop-motion animation specialists and Academy favorites Aardman, but the smart money has to be on Pixar.

  • Onward (Pixar)
  • Over the Moon (Netflix)
  • A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon (Netflix)
  • Soul (Pixar)
  • Wolfwalkers (Apple TV Plus/GKids)

My money's on: Soul

(Video) My FINAL Oscars 2021 Winners Predictions (But wow, what a moment.)

Movies Coming in 2022 From Marvel, Netflix, DC and More

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Who will win Best Director Oscars 2022? ›

“I love directing because it's a deep dive into story.” It's the Power of Jane. Jane Campion took home the Academy Award for best director for The Power of the Dog on Sunday night, as thunderous applause rang through the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles.

Who is up for Best Picture 2022? ›


Who is nominated Best Director 2022? ›

  • The Power of the Dog. Jane Campion.
  • Belfast. Kenneth Branagh.
  • Drive My Car. Ryusuke Hamaguchi.
  • Licorice Pizza. Paul Thomas Anderson.
  • West Side Story. Steven Spielberg.

Who is the most Oscar winning director? ›

Poll: Directors Whose Films Won Most Oscars
  • Steven Spielberg. 32 Oscars: ...
  • David Lean. 27 Oscars: ...
  • Fred Zinnemann. 24 Oscars: ...
  • Vincente Minnelli. 23 Oscars: ...
  • James Cameron. 21 Oscars: ...
  • Elia Kazan. 21 Oscars: ...
  • Peter Jackson. 20 Oscars: ...
  • Martin Scorsese. 20 Oscars:

Who got Oscar for Best Director? ›

Jane Campion has won the Oscar for best director at the 94th Academy Awards, currently under way at the Dolby theatre in Los Angeles. Campion becomes the third woman to win the award, after Chloé Zhao in 2021 and Kathryn Bigelow in 2010.

Should CODA have won Best Picture? ›

Statistically, Coda should not have been a strong contender to win best picture at the Oscars. The small, independent film had just three nominations but walked away from the 94th Academy Awards with trophies for each of them - including the big one, best picture.

Does CODA win Best Picture? ›

At the Sundance Film Festival in 2021, where the Apple Original Film had its world premiere, “CODA” was honored with an unprecedented four awards, including the Special Jury Award for Ensemble Cast, the Directing Award, the Audience Award, and the Grand Jury Prize, making it the first top Sundance winner to achieve an ...

Who won the most Oscars 2022? ›

Warner Bros topped all studios with seven Oscars, followed by six for Disney (whose tally also includes Searchlight and Hulu). Its Encanto picked up the Animated Feature trophy.

Who are the next big directors? ›

Best Up And Coming Directors: 11 Of The Top New Directors
  • Best Up-and-Coming Film Directors. Below you'll find a list of the most talented, most successful, and most celebrated directors working today. ...
  • Jordan Peele. ...
  • Ari Aster. ...
  • Chloé Zhao. ...
  • Charlie Kaufman. ...
  • Benny Safdie. ...
  • Robert Eggers. ...
  • Brandon Cronenberg.

Who were the nominees for Best Director? ›

Academy Award for Best Directing

Which film is awarded the best film of 2021? ›

Winners of 66 th Vimal Elaichi Filmfare Awards 2021
  • Best Film - Thappad. ...
  • Critics Best Film - Eeb Allay Ooo! ...
  • Best Actor In A Leading Role (Male) - Irrfan. ...
  • Critics Best Actor In A Leading Role (Male) - Amitabh Bachchan. ...
  • Best Actor In A Leading Role (Female) - Taapsee Pannu.

What are the Best Picture nominees? ›

Academy Award for Best Picture

Who is up for best actress? ›

Contenders for Best Actress
  1. Jessica Chastain — The Eyes of Tammy Faye.
  2. Nicole Kidman — Being the Ricardos.
  3. Olivia Colman — The Lost Daughter.
  4. Kristen Stewart — Spencer.
  5. Penélope Cruz — Parallel Mothers.
20 Mar 2022

Who is the most successful director ever? ›

As of July 2022, Steven Spielberg remained the highest-grossing film director in history, amassing over 10.6 billion U.S. dollars at the global box office throughout his career. Anthony and Joe Russo, known as the Russo brothers, followed with 6.84 billion dollars.

Who has never won an Oscar for Best Director? ›

Tarantino, Anderson, Lee

More contemporary directors who have never won the award include names such as Quentin Tarantino, who has been nominated three times, Wes Anderson for The Grand Budapest Hotel, and Spike Lee for BlacKkKlansman.

Who is the youngest person to win an Oscar for Best Director? ›

As of April 2022, the youngest directing Academy Award winner ever was Damien Chazelle. He won the Oscar in the Directing category for "La La Land" (2016) at the age of 32 years and 39 days. Norman Taurog ranked second – he was 32 years and 260 days when he won the award for "Skippy" (1931).

Who won best director last night? ›

Watch the top moments from the 2022 Oscars in 4 minutes

Jane Campion on Sunday night became the third woman in film history to win the best director prize at the Academy Awards, earning a statuette for the brooding Western “The Power of the Dog.”

Has a woman ever won an Oscar for Best Director? ›

In 2022, Campion not only took home the Oscar for Best Director, but she also became the third woman to win in the category. The other two women who have bagged the award are Kathryn Bigelow for The Hurt Locker in 2010 and Chloé Zhao for Nomadland in 2021.

Which director has most national awards? ›

Satyajit Ray is the most frequent recipient with six wins. Adoor Gopalakrishnan has received the honour five times. Mrinal Sen has been awarded four times.

Was CODA a flop? ›

It got strong reviews, a wide release on a prominent date, and became one of the two eventual Best Picture nominees to gross more than $18 million. However, its $38.5 million domestic total stunned the film business with its failure to gain audience traction.

What is the lowest rated Best Picture winner? ›

1) 'The Broadway Melody' (1929)

It's about two sisters from the vaudeville circuit trying to make it big on Broadway, but their heart gets in the way. IMDb audiences generally dislike the Broadway Melody for a multitude of reasons.

What beat Star Wars for Best Picture? ›

Citation Information
  • Article Title. "Annie Hall" beats out "Star Wars" for Best Picture.
  • Author. History.com Editors.
  • Website Name. HISTORY.
  • URL. https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/annie-hall-beats-out-star-wars-for-best-picture.
  • Access Date. September 23, 2022.
  • Publisher. ...
  • Last Updated. ...
  • Original Published Date.

What are the only sequels to win Best Picture? ›

Few sequels have been nominated for Best Picture and just two have won: The Godfather Part II (the film before that, The Godfather, also won the award; the third film in the installment The Godfather Part III, was nominated as well but did not win the award) and The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (the films ...

What beat Citizen Kane for Best Picture? ›

The ceremony is now considered notable as the year in which Citizen Kane failed to win Best Picture, losing to John Ford's How Green Was My Valley. Later regarded as the greatest film ever made, Citizen Kane was nominated for nine awards but won only one, for Best Original Screenplay.

Who did Chariots of Fire beat for Best Picture? ›

The movie won four Oscars in 1981, including best screenplay, best original score and, of course, best picture. I loved "Chariots" when it came out and was happy to see it beat the overhyped "Reds" for best picture (though I was disappointed to see "Raiders of the Lost Ark" lose).

Who won the most Oscars in one night? ›

The most awards have been won by Walt Disney, who won four Academy Awards in 1954.

Who has won 3 or more Oscars? ›

Brennan became the first to receive three or more Academy Awards (winning the third for a 1940 film), followed by Hepburn (1968), Bergman (1974), Nicholson (1997), Streep (2011), Day-Lewis (2012), and, most recently, McDormand (2020).

Which 3 movies won all 5 major Oscars? ›

Only three films have won all five of these major awards: It Happened One Night (1934), One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest (1975), and The Silence of the Lambs (1991).

Who is the best director currently? ›

The 25 best directors working today
  • 1 of 25. Martin Scorsese. Colombia Pictures. ...
  • 2 of 25. Spike Lee. Universal Pictures. ...
  • 3 of 25. Greta Gerwig. A24. ...
  • 4 of 25. Jean Luc-Godard. Criterion Collection. ...
  • 5 of 25. Adam McKay. DreamWork Pictures. ...
  • 6 of 25. Pedro Almodovar. Sony Pictures Classics. ...
  • 7 of 25. Quentin Tarantino. ...
  • 8 of 25. Claire Denis.
11 Sept 2022

Who is No 1 director in world? ›

RankNameHighest-grossing film
1Steven SpielbergJurassic Park ($1.046 billion)
2Russo brothersAvengers: Endgame ($2.987 billion)
3Peter JacksonThe Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King ($1.140 billion)
4Michael BayTransformers: Dark of the Moon ($1.123 billion)
6 more rows

Who is the most intelligent director? ›

Although, the first name that comes to mind as to who is the most intelligent is Stanley Kubrick.

How much do directors get paid? ›

Depending on experience, most film directors earn between $250,000 to $2 million per project. New directors typically earn between $250,000 to $500,000 per film, while studio film directors earn about $1 million per movie.

How much does a TV director make per episode? ›

TV Director

Directors of hourlong dramas make about $42,000 an episode; sitcom directors earn $35,000.

Who is the best director of the year? ›

As of the 2021 ceremony, New Zealand filmmaker Jane Campion is the most recent winner in this category for her work on The Power of the Dog and the third woman to win it.

Which film was the biggest flop in 2021? ›

The Biggest Box Office Bombs Of 2021
  • Snake Eyes. Paramount Pictures. ...
  • Reminiscence. Warner Bros. ...
  • Chaos Walking. Lionsgate. ...
  • Joe Bell. Roadside Attractions. ...
  • Dear Evan Hansen. Universal Pictures. ...
  • The Last Duel. 20th Century Studios. ...
  • Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City. Sony/Screen Gems. ...
  • Spirit Untamed. Universal/DreamWorks Animation.
1 Jan 2022

Who got National film Award 2022? ›

South Superstar Suriya's 'Soorarai Pottru' bagged all the major accolades at the 68th edition of National Film Awards. Helmed by Sudha Kongara, the critically praised film, which was also India's official entry to Oscars 2021 in the Best International Film category.

Who got the Best Film award for present year? ›

Tamil film 'Soorarai Pottru' wins Best Film, while directors Sachidanandan KR and Sudha Kongara, and actors Ajay Devgn and Aparna Balamurali also win honours. The 68th National Film Awards were announced on Friday afternoon at the National Media Centre in New Delhi, with the honours for films from the year of 2020.

How many Best Picture nominees will there be in 2022? ›

The Academy Awards are known for shining a spotlight on the biggest films of the year — and the 2022 Oscars Best Picture nominees are no exception. The Sunday, March 27, awards show will feature 10 movies vying for the coveted title of Best Picture.

What picture won Best Picture last night? ›

“CODA” wins the Oscar for best picture. The film, which is on Apple TV+, is the first streaming movie to win the award. “Thank you to the Academy for letting our 'CODA' make history tonight,” producer Philippe Rousselet said.

What is the most nominated film to lose the top prize Best Picture? ›

1 The Color Purple (1985) - 11 Nominations

The Color Purple is one of the most quintessential works of Black fiction across any medium - literature, film, or stage - and Steven Spielberg's 1985 adaptation certainly did it justice as far as the Academy was concerned.

Who will win Best Actress 2022? ›

Jessica Chastain is officially an Academy Award winner. At Sunday night's Oscars 2022 ceremony, Chastain picked up the best-actress statuette for her performance in The Eyes of Tammy Faye, in which she portrayed the titular televangelist, Tammy Faye Bakker.

Who is the Best Actress in the world? ›

Top 10 most beautiful Hollywood actresses of all time
  • Lana Turner. Lana Turner was an American film and television actress. ...
  • Janet Leigh. Janet Leigh, was an American actress and author. ...
  • Keira Knightley. Keira Knightley is an English actress and singer. ...
  • Jane Seymour. ...
  • Natalie Portman. ...
  • Grace Kelly. ...
  • Penelope Cruz. ...
  • Elizabeth Taylor.

Who won the Oscars fan favorite 2022? ›

Zack Snyder's Army of the Dead has won the fan-favorite award at the 2022 Oscars, besting other popular picks like Tom Holland's Spider-Man: No Way Home and Camila Cabello's Cinderella.

Who got snubbed for 2022 Oscar nominations? ›

Snub: Denis Villeneuve

Despite earning 10 nominations, including best picture, best adapted screenplay, best editing and best cinematography, for the 2022 Oscars for his film “Dune,” Denis Villeneuve did not receive a best director nod on Tuesday.

Who has won at the 2022 Oscars? ›

94th Academy Awards

Who won the Oscar award for best director in 2020? ›

With his wins in Best Picture, Director, and Original Screenplay, as well as his accepting of the award for International Feature Film on behalf of South Korea, Bong Joon-ho was the second person to collect four statuettes in a single ceremony since Walt Disney at the 26th Academy Awards held in 1954 and the first to ...

Did Netflix win any Oscars 2022? ›

Though the 2022 Oscars weren't entirely dominated by wins for films released by streaming services, Apple TV+ and Netflix films received awards for best supporting actor (for CODA's Troy Kotsur), best director (for The Power of the Dog's Jane Campion) and best adapted screenplay (for CODA's Siân Heder).

What picture won the most 2022 Oscars? ›

The night's most awarded movie was “Dune,” which won in six categories including cinematography and production design. The best director honor went to Jane Campion, whose subversive western, “The Power of the Dog,” was the most nominated movie of the night.

Who won the fan Favourite at the Oscars? ›

'Army of the Dead' won the Oscars Fan Favorite award.

Who got expelled from Oscars? ›

In its 94-year history, the Academy has expelled only five members: Carmine Caridi, Harvey Weinstein, Bill Cosby, Roman Polanski, and cinematographer Adam Kimmel.

Who turned down Oscar? ›

The Academy Apologizes to Sacheen Littlefeather, Who Refused Marlon Brando's 1973 Oscar. Nearly 50 years after protesting the mistreatment of Native Americans on behalf of Brando, the actress and activist will be honored at the Academy Museum.

Has anyone's Oscar been revoked? ›

In fact, though there are those who have rejected their Oscars (Marlon Brando, Dudley Nichols), only one award has ever been revoked in Academy history — the 1969 prize for Best Documentary, which was given to Young Americans before it was determined that the film was released in 1967 and therefore ineligible.

Which 3 movies won all 5 major Oscars? ›

Only three films have won all five of these major awards: It Happened One Night (1934), One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest (1975), and The Silence of the Lambs (1991).

Has a black person ever won an Oscar for Best Actor? ›

From Hattie McDaniel to Regina King, here's a look at the Black history that has been made at the Academy Awards. This article was updated on March 28, 2022. Third time was the charm for Will, as he finally took home an Oscar trophy for Best Actor for his leading role in King Richard after two prior nominations.

Who won Best Actor at the Oscars? ›

Academy Awards

Who is the best film director? ›

RankNameHighest-grossing film
1Steven SpielbergJurassic Park ($1.046 billion)
2Russo brothersAvengers: Endgame ($2.987 billion)
3Peter JacksonThe Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King ($1.140 billion)
4Michael BayTransformers: Dark of the Moon ($1.123 billion)
6 more rows

Who is the youngest person to win an Oscar for Best Director? ›

As of April 2022, the youngest directing Academy Award winner ever was Damien Chazelle. He won the Oscar in the Directing category for "La La Land" (2016) at the age of 32 years and 39 days. Norman Taurog ranked second – he was 32 years and 260 days when he won the award for "Skippy" (1931).

Who has never won an Oscar for Best Director? ›

Tarantino, Anderson, Lee

More contemporary directors who have never won the award include names such as Quentin Tarantino, who has been nominated three times, Wes Anderson for The Grand Budapest Hotel, and Spike Lee for BlacKkKlansman.


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